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Arab Financial Brokers ( AFB ) http://www.afb.com.kw/en/pages/50-BONUS.html

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Daily Market News by AFC



Friday, April 26, 2013

ECONOMIC INDICATORS CALENDAR (daily)


Local Time

Country

Indicator

previous

Forecasting

Impact

9.00AM

E.Z

German Import Prices m/m

0.3%

0.0%

L

9.00AM

E.Z

German Retail Sales m/m

0.4%

M

10.00AM

CHF

KOF Economic Barometer

0.99

0.97

H

11.00AM

E.Z

Private Loans y/y

-0.9%

-0.8%

L

11.00AM

E.Z

M3 Money Supply y/y

3.1%

3.0%

M

3.30pm

U.S

GDP q/q

0.4%

3.0%

H

3.30pm

U.S

GDP Price Index q/q

1.0%

1.4%

M

4.55pm

U.S

Revised UOM Inflation Expectations

3.2%

L

4.55pm

U.S

Revised UOM Consumer Sentiment

78.6

74.3

M

  1. SNB Chairman Speaks 11.00AM


EURUSD

Pair could hold above the key support levels at 1.2970 on the time frame for this week's trading and steady trading above those levels we expect to see a continuation of the bullish intraday trend note that any breaking of level 1.2930 it will cancel the positive outlook

Daily trend upside


Resistance

Support

Level

1.3093

1.2985

Level 1

1.3145

1.2934

Level 2

1.3195

1.2870

Level 3

Key support levels

1.2870

1.2985

key resistance levels

1.3195

1.3093

Current price: 1.3033

We recommend long above 1.2970 take profit 1.3100 stop loss at 1.2930

Additional Advice: Alternative scenario

Short below * 4 hour closing below * 1.2930 it will carry us for the first downside target 1.2900 & 1.2870

GBPUSD

Sterling succeeded in achieving the expected bullish weekly direction and that by price stability above 1.5180, the highest price 1.5470, approaching the first weekly goal and today steadily trading next four -hours above 1.5370 we expect the continuation of upside daily trend unless breaking of level 1.5330 and any trade below 1.5190 it will open the way for further decline

Daily Trend upside


Key support levels

1.5095

1.5318

key resistance levels

1.5762

1.5540

Resistance

Support

Level

1.5540

1.5318

Level 1

1.5620

1.5175

Level 2

1.5762

1.5095

Level 3

Current price: 1.5430

We recommend long above 1.5370 take profit 1.5540 stop loss at 1.5330

Additional Advice: Alternative scenario

Short below * 4 hours closing below * 1.5320 it will carry us for first downside target 1.5260 & 1.5220

AUDUSD

Australian dollar fell slightly falling our positive outlook We expect next four – hours any trade above 1,0270 and above the psychological barrier of 1.0200 and generally above 1.0170 upside correction to retest 1.0370

upside Prevails


Resistance

Support

Level

1.0342

1.0275

Level 1

1.0374

1.0240

Level 2

1.0410

1.0200

Level 3

Key support levels

1.0200

1.0275

key resistance levels

1.0410

1.0342

Current price: 1.0292

We recommend long above 1.0270 take profit 1.0370 stop loss at 1.0230

Additional Advice: Alternative scenario

Short below *4 hours closing below * 1.0230 it will carry us for first downside target 1.0200 & 1.0170

UsdJPY

we expect any stability below 99.60 it's a negative daily outlook, the pair entered overbought level , we expect further decline , and any breaking of level 88.10 it will be the first sing for very strong bearish trend

Downisde Prevails


Resistance

Support

Level

99.23

98.10

Level 1

99.96

97.65

Level 2

100.35

96.95

Level 3

Key support levels

96.95

98.10

key resistance levels

100.35

99.23

Current price: 98.62

We recommend short below 99.20 take profit 98.20 stop loss at 99.60

Additional Advice: Alternative scenario

long above *4 hours closing above * 99.60 it will carry us for first upside target 99.90 &mmp; 100.30

USDCAD

Flat range trading for the Canadian dollar after touching 1.0292 levels .Today we expect an downside trend and the steady price below 1.0240-1.0230 targeting 1.0140 and generally any above 1.0290 its negative

Downside Prevails


Resistance

Support

Level

1.0245

1.0163

Level 1

1.0290

1.0132

Level 2

1.0325

1.0084

Level 3

Key support levels

1.0084

1.0163

key resistance levels

1.0325

1.0245

Current price: 1.0205

We recommend short below 1.0240 take profit 1.0140 loss at 1.0280

Additional Advice: Alternative scenario

Long above * 4 hour closing above * 1.0255 it will carry us for the first upside target 1.0290 & 1.0320

USDCHF

Swiss franc hit our entry short point referred, recording its highest price 0.9484 and today the pair now entered overbought level . we expecting next four hours slightly decline to re - test 0.9360 unless breaking level of 0.9500

Downside Prevails


Resistance

Support

Level

0.9465

0.9410

Level 1

0.9500

0.9375

Level 2

0.9532

0.9340

Level 3

Key support levels

0.9340

0.9410

key resistance levels

0.9432

0.9456

Current price: 0.9436

We recommend short below 0.9460 take profit 0.9360 stop loss at 0.9500

Additional Advice: Alternative scenario9250

Long above 0.9500 it will carry us for the first upside target 0.9530 & 0.9560

XAUUSD

We believe today that any trade below 1480 its negative daily trend . And by stability below this level we expect slightly downside correction to re- test again 1440 unless breaking of level 1495 it will open the way for further upside


Resistance

Support

Level

1495.00

1438.00

Level 1

1518.00

1404.00

Level 2

1552.00

1381.33

Level 2

Key support levels

1381.33

1438.60

key resistance levels

1552.00

1595.00


Current price: 1465

We recommend short below 1480 take profit 1440 stop loss 1495

Additional Advice: Alternative scenario

Long above 1495 it will open the way to first upside target 1500 & 1518

Caution : High Risk Levels

Crude Oil

U.S. crude rose yesterday touched 93.86, we expect the next four hours of steady price below 93.50 slightly downside correction with target 92.50

Downside Prevails


Resistance

Support

Level

94.15

91.40

Level 1

95.38

89.88

Level 2

96.90

88.65

Level 3

Key support levels

88.65

91.40

key resistance levels

96.90

94.15


Current price: 93.12

We recommend short below 93.50 take profit 92.50 stop loss at 93.90

Additional Advice: Alternative scenario

Long above * 4 hours closing above * 94.20 it will call us for the first upside target 94.60 & 95.00

EURJPY

Next four – hours we expect slightly decline to resume the upside daily trend again and any price stabilize below 129.30 its negative outlook targeting re-test 128.00 unless breaking level of 129.70

Downside Prevails


Resistance

Support

Level

129.45

127.67

Level 1

130.58

126.95

Level 2

131.27

125.88

Level 3

Key support levels

125.88

127.67

key resistance levels

131.27

129.45

Current price: 128.60

We recommend short below 129.30 take profit 128.00 stop loss at 129.70

Additional Advice: Alternative scenario

Long above 129.70 it will open the way to first upside target 130.00 & 130.50

GBPJPY

The pair entered overbought level and by price stability below 153.00 we expect slightly decline next four – hours to resume the general up trend and by price stability next four - hours below 153.00 and bigger picture below 153.60 we expect downside targeting 151,30 unless breaking of level 153.60

Downside Prevails


Resistance

Support

Level

153.57

151.24

Level 1

154.82

150.16

Level 2

155.90

148.90

Level 3

Key support levels

148.90

151.24

key resistance levels

155.90

153.75


Current price: 152.30

We recommend short below 153.00 take profit 151.30 loss at 153.60

Additional Advice: Alternative scenario

Long above 153.70 it will open the way to first upside target 154.00 & 154.50

Dow jones

Dow Jones Industrial jumps last session boosted by some positive economic factors today by price stability above 14580 we expect further upside targeting 14680

Upside Prevails


Resistance

Support

Level

14697

14581

Level 1

14761

14529

Level 2

14813

14465

Level 3

Key support levels

14233

14390

key resistance levels

14704

14547


Current price: 14625

We recommend long above 14580 take profit 14689 stop loss at 14540

Additional Advice: Alternative scenario

Short below 14530 it will open the way to first downside target 14500 & 14460

Notice: investment instrument, to effect any transactions, or to conclude any legal act of any kind whatsoever. Published information and opinions are provided Arab brokerage firms for personal use or for informational purposes only and are subject to change without prior notice. Arab brokerage firms do not represent (either express or implied) that the information and opinions expressed are accurate, complete or current. Nothing contained constitutes financial, legal advice, tax or other, nor should any investment or any other decisions based solely on the content. You should get advice from a qualified expert before making any investment decision. The opinion is based on sources that Arab brokerage firms them trustworthy, but they have no guarantees that this is the case. Therefore, while it is making every possible effort to ensure that the content is accurate and complete, AFB and does not provide any such claim.

Posted in Forex

Daily Market Brief by AFC

Daily Market Brief by AFC Friday the 26th of April 2013

Markets Buoyed by US Job Data, Geopolitical Tensions in Syria

Financial markets climbed higher with encouraging US jobless claims data. Wall Street gained with the DJIA and the S&P 500 indices rising +0.17% and +0.40% respectively. In the commodity sector, crude oil prices firmed as driven by the stock markets. The front-month contract for WTI crude oil jumped +2.42% to finished the day at 93.64 while the Brent crude contract soared +1.65% to settle at 103.41. The rise was also driven by a report on Syrian weapons. Gold climbed for a second consecutive day with the benchmark Comex contract gaining +2.69%.

The US said they for the first time have got evidence that Syria has used chemical weapons. While there was no full agreement on the issue, the US government condemned that the deed “violates every convention of warfare”. This raised concerns that the US would intervene more severely in the Syria civil war. Crude and gold usually gain on escalated geopolitical tensions…

EUR/USD Daily Outlook
Daily Pivots: (S1) 1.2968; (P) 1.3031 (R1) 1.3073;
Intraday bias in EUR/USD remains neutral for the moment. The question is still on whether rebound from 1.2746 has finished at 1.3201. Below 1.2954 will reaffirm this case and target retest on 1.2746. But above 1.3128 minor resistance will turn focus back to 1.3201 instead.
In the bigger picture, current development mixed up the outlook in EUR/USD with major question on whether rebound from 1.2042 has completed at 1.3710…

USD/JPY Daily Outlook
Daily Pivots: (S1) 98.95; (P) 99.25; (R1) 99.53;
The break of 98.48 minor support suggests that rebound form 95.78 is possibly completed. Intraday bias is back on the downside as consolidation from 99.94 extends with another falling leg. But downside should be contained by 95.74 and bring rebound. Eventually, rise from 77.13 is expected to resume later and break of 100 psychological level to 161.8% projection of 77.13 to 96.70 from 92.56 at 104.65.
In the bigger picture, whole decline from 124.13 should have already completed at 75.56. Stronger medium term rally could be seen back towards 101.65 key support turned resistance level…

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